LG roadmap predicts 'OLED panels will cost less than LCD panels in 2016'

Speaking at the FPD show in Japan, Won Kim, VP of LG Display's OLED sales and marketing group laid bare its OLED plans for the future. Pretty significant as LG is one of only two players currently manufacturing production OLED TVs; though unlike Sony, LG has yet to ship anything -- that bit of consumer magic begins in November. So here's the deal: LG will release 20-inch and larger OLED panels in 2010, 30-inch and larger in 2011, and 40-inch and larger OLED panels in 2012. While 40-inch OLEDs will still be "fairly expensive" in 2012, Kim predicts that "OLED panels will cost less than LCD panels in 2016." We'd love to believe that but it sounds overly aggressive to us considering the enormous investment panel manufacturers have made in LCDs (they'll be milking profits just as long as they can) and new push towards 3D televisions. Besides, LG's been all over the map with its OLED dates so let's not go carving anything in low-temperature polycrystal silicon just yet.

[Via OLED-Display.net]

[Ioannis Posted Oct 30th 2009 7:06AM]

The question is, when will we see affordable laptop sized OLED screens

[(Unverified) Posted Oct 30th 2009 4:22PM]

I'm afraid affordable laptop sized OLED screens are out of question.

[BeeQAL Posted Oct 30th 2009 7:06AM]

Cool...only a little over 6 years away but cool nonetheless >.

[(Unverified) Posted Oct 30th 2009 7:09AM]

Cool, just in time for an upgrade :)

[(Unverified) Posted Oct 30th 2009 7:20AM]

"LG roadmap predicts 'OLED panels will cost less than LCD panels in 2016'"

This is all assuming that no price fixing shenanigans don't take place.

[Techie Posted Oct 30th 2009 1:14PM]

We all know there's going to be some so it's accounted for.

[(Unverified) Posted Oct 31st 2009 7:40AM]

till then, I have my plasma

[(Unverified) Posted Oct 30th 2009 8:01AM]

Only 4 years after everyone is dead.

[Shmunt Posted Oct 30th 2009 8:33AM]

Laughing Out Loud

[MJGAMER 1991 XBL Posted Oct 30th 2009 3:37PM]

No one gives a shit about the Swiss anyways. As long as it doesn't cause the earth to implode/explode, I'm cool with a few million overseas casualties. Hell, they're even a few people right in my state I wouldn't mind sacrificing for science!

[(Unverified) Posted Oct 30th 2009 8:37AM]

I'll be dead by then

[Alex Posted Oct 30th 2009 8:51AM]

Well this severely complicates my TV shopping process. I was going to get an LCD, but now I just might wait it out until OLEDs are cheaper...

[o29 Posted Oct 30th 2009 11:03AM]

That's going to be a long wait, and like all things with technology, if you're always waiting for the next best thing then you'll pretty much always be waiting since there's always something better coming.

And 2016 is a pretty conservative estimate anyway.

[RafterManFMJ Posted Oct 30th 2009 1:03PM]

Not sure, but I think his post was in jest.

[jol Posted Oct 30th 2009 9:20AM]

The question is, will I be able to print my own OLED tv's on my inkjet printer by 2018?

[RafterManFMJ Posted Oct 30th 2009 1:11PM]

Sure you will!

You be able to print your own OLED TV, OLED wallpaper, Thin Film Solar panels, and IKEA's new PlaticWere(tm) clothing, that you self-assemble.

Should you be lucky enough to own a new cutting-edge 3D printer, you'll be able to print custom beer Koozies and, when the damage is done, a new liver.

Either that or we'll all be living in dumpsters

[VampireHunterZ Posted Oct 30th 2009 9:29AM]

I was thinking just yesterday that OLED will replace LCD. Since these companies are moving towards 3D it makes sense. 3D in homes is highly dependent on refresh rates for it to work and OLED has tons of this.

[RandomGuy Posted Oct 30th 2009 10:43AM]

So if OLED prices will be less than LCD in 6 years, and LCD prices are continually dropping and are expected to drop over the next 6 years (especially as OLED becomes the premium/preferred technology) what I want to know is when future OLED prices will be less than current LCD prices.

In other words, when evaluating whether I should plunk down $2000 on a TV now, or wait for OLEDs to become reasonable. If I take what the article is saying, I can probably assume the LCD TV that is selling for $2000 today will be going for $500 in 6 years. This would mean an OLED alternative would be less than $500. What I really want to know, is when that OLED will drop below $2000, obviously sometime sooner than 6 years. If it was 3 or so, that would impact my decision on buying a current TV.


Of course with the current recession and bailouts, inflation might go crazy enough that todays $2000 LCD won't go down in price, and everything else will go up /sarc

[kempcross Posted Oct 30th 2009 11:27AM]

Didn't you hear? The recession's over. And severe recessions can lead to deflation, hence the need for a government infusion of cash. so you've got it backwards.

[RandomGuy Posted Oct 30th 2009 11:49AM]

I should hope that your claiming of the recession being over is sarcasm, because a single quarter of growth does not count as ending a recession. Furthermore the growth was largely attributed to sales of houses and cars that were artificially pulled forward from future sales by government incentives like Cash for Clunkers and the Home buyer credit. Since those programs have expired sales have tanked and we are unlikely to sustain the growth of last quarter.

As to a government infusion of money, that is specifically what leads to inflation. More money added to the economy artificially (meaning the extra money wasn't earned from another economy, just borrowed from the future) leads to a lower value of that money. That and increased energy costs, which actually go down during a recession. So regardless of whether the recession is truly over, the increased rate of inflation will came as a result of the bailout. Whereas if the recession is truly over that inflation will be compounded with higher demand for consumer goods and increased energy prices to make inflation worse.

So yes in summation, recessions cause deflation, due to low demand on products and energy, fixing recessions by throwing bailout money at them causes inflation, and recovering from recessions (even without bailouts) causes inflation.

But yeah, OLEDs rock!

[kempcross Posted Oct 30th 2009 4:41PM]

I agree with you on one thing RandomGuy, OLEDs do, in fact, rock.

But no sarcasm here. The recession is technically over. GDP is positive, and an accurate indicator of the end of a recession - the peaking and subsequent decline of initial jobless claims - occurred back in early April and has been declining ever since. You also make a huge assumption on which the rest of your posting is based, namely, that government infusion of money leads to inflation. The fact is, it doesn't always. It might, and we might have another recession, but the current one is over.

Just cleaning up the Bushy mess leftover...

[lie07 Posted Oct 30th 2009 10:43AM]

i think world ends in 2012???
why wait till 2016 bring'em out

[(Unverified) Posted Oct 30th 2009 10:22PM]

Ya gotta love BusinessWeek... in their Aug. 13, 2001 article on OLED (then, micro-displays only) suggested there's be a further 90% price drop and that within 15 years, wall-sized OLED displays would be not much more than the cost of paint. I know it's not there yet, but given paint prices are edging up and flat panel displays are plummeting, I doubt they'll be all that far off.

[(Unverified) Posted Nov 2nd 2009 12:16PM]

http://www.ekshoe.com

jordan air max oakland raiders $34--39;

Ed Hardy AF JUICY POLO Bikini $25;
Christan Audigier BIKINI JACKET $25;
gstar coogi evisu true jeans $35;
coach chanel gucci LV handbags $36
coogi DG edhardy gucci t-shirts $18;
CA edhardy vests.paul smith shoes $32;
jordan dunk af1 max gucci shoes $37;

EDhardy gucci ny New Era cap $16;

http://www.ekshoe.com