So it still hasn't sold as much as one of Nokia's more expensive models alone (N95). That's actually quite lame considering how much hype was created around this "miracle device". Bet they're pretty disappointed at Apple..
You're assuming the sales pace will continue as it has. I don't think that's likely. No doubt a large percentage of this 4 million were sold first at launch and then right after the price drop. Now that the phone's been on the market for a while and the early adopter crowd satisfied, I don't see what's going to entice the mass market to buy in. Especially now that the holidays are over, sales are most definitely going to slow.
For them to hit 10 million by the end of 2008, they'd need to be at least at 5-6 million right now, barring any further changes to either pricing or features. And those may still be coming. But if so, then you'd be pretty dumb to buy in now.
I wonder how these sales compare to the Razr in its heyday. A few years back, seemed like every single person I saw on the street had one of those.
"...You're assuming the sales pace will continue as it has. I don't think that's likely..."
They're only selling in France, Germany, the UK and the US at the moment. There are plenty more countries where the iPhone hasn't even launched yet (Canada, Australia + NZ, Asia, the rest of Europe for starters), and I think those launches will have a pretty good chance of maintaining their current sales numbers. 10M by the end of 2008 is definitely attainable.
“An engineer explained to us that hundreds of ear impressions were gathered in the name of research, and while each one obviously boasted its own unique shape and size, one single characteristic remained uniform across the board: the entrance into the ear canal is not a perfect circle, it's an oval.”
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So it still hasn't sold as much as one of Nokia's more expensive models alone (N95). That's actually quite lame considering how much hype was created around this "miracle device". Bet they're pretty disappointed at Apple..
I have to admit that is pretty stunning.
and you have to remember that the vast bulk of those sold in the first month, so the numbers have been shrinking every month.
I can see why Engadget couched it in terms of "at a rate of roughly 20,000 a day" just to make it seem much more powerful.
"The phone apparently attained a 19% share in the smartphone market in the first quarter of its existence"
No, it SOLD 19% of smartphones in its first quarter. DUH, it was its debut quarter. What did they expect?
If it's sell more than that in quarter 2, 3, and 4, then crow.
Apple was projecting sales of 10M iPhones by the end of 2008, which this MacWorld editorial thought was way too optimistic:
http://www.macworld.com/article/54941/2007/01/blewit.html
Looks like they're on target. As noted, at the time, RIM was selling 5.5M/12mo. 10M iPhones/18mo is nothing to sneeze at.
Reid:
You're assuming the sales pace will continue as it has. I don't think that's likely. No doubt a large percentage of this 4 million were sold first at launch and then right after the price drop. Now that the phone's been on the market for a while and the early adopter crowd satisfied, I don't see what's going to entice the mass market to buy in. Especially now that the holidays are over, sales are most definitely going to slow.
For them to hit 10 million by the end of 2008, they'd need to be at least at 5-6 million right now, barring any further changes to either pricing or features. And those may still be coming. But if so, then you'd be pretty dumb to buy in now.
I wonder how these sales compare to the Razr in its heyday. A few years back, seemed like every single person I saw on the street had one of those.
@Jeff
"...You're assuming the sales pace will continue as it has. I don't think that's likely..."
They're only selling in France, Germany, the UK and the US at the moment. There are plenty more countries where the iPhone hasn't even launched yet (Canada, Australia + NZ, Asia, the rest of Europe for starters), and I think those launches will have a pretty good chance of maintaining their current sales numbers. 10M by the end of 2008 is definitely attainable.