Tim Levin

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Stories By Tim Levin

  • How Investments in The Drone Industry Fail

    The drone industry is one of the hottest tech fields for the last couple of years. And while it's booming, some of the giant companies trying to carve out their own niche in the drone market often fail while other companies conquer and excel in this the huge industry of flying robots. Of course, the financial part is important as billions of dollars are getting thrown in for what seems to be a sure fire bet. How successful are the investments in this field? According to what I have seen, not very. Now let's walk though it on a case by case basis and see where all the invested money has gone to. Yuneec Typhoon H/Photo by Derrick Threatt Yuneec and Intel Yuneec has been in the RC business since 1999. They haven't been innovating and mostly was leaning towards OEM business. Back in September 2015, Intel invested $60M in Yuneec and after a few months they announced a hexacopter called Typhoon H. What was making this drone special is the Real Sense Infrared Obstacle Avoidance system. Unfortunately, consumers waited several long months after the announcement before they finally started shipping the Typhoon H with RealSense. Unfortunately, the product appeared not quite as competitive because of the persistence of DJI's Phantom 4 drone on the market. Yuneec was bigger, slower and cost more money than the Phantom 4. Multiple reports circulated about quality flaws in both hardware and software on Facebook and other social media and forums. Intel, seeing that the investments were not quite successful released their own drone and this time without Yuneec. Entitled Aero was a drone for developers. It was obvious that Intel wanted to stay in the drone market but was trying to avoid Yuneec, less they follow DJI's lead and include their version of SDK in the Typhoon H. Last told, it's been a half year since Yuneec started shipping but one doesn't see many Typhoons or Breezes flying around. One could not imagine that this was the experience that Intel expected when they invested $60M. 3D Robotics In the beginning of 2015, another circuit maker Qualcomm invested under $50 M USD into the 3DR. From the beginning, 3DR was primarily making open source drones and flight controllers. They were, however, driven not to miss the boom of the Ready to fly drones. 3D robotics used the investments of Qualcomm and built a Solo- ready to fly drone with the GoPro camera on board. From many points of view, it was a good, quality product and provided a great flight performance. But 3DR placed too much supply over demand and manufactured too many drones. Add the Phantom 3 price damping and 3DR could not compete. Just after 1 week of the drone on the market, 3DR announced that they are not making RTH drones anymore and will only focus only on industrial application aircrafts. Not the news any investor would want to hear. 3DR Solo/Photo by The Verge ZANO This company raised an impressive £2.3M on a Kickstarter in November 2015. It was a super small, form factor drone made for taking selfies with flash. They have raised more money than they initially targeted. The problem was that they had not enough design and manufacturing skills, so they couldn't deliver the final product. Only 600 out of 15000 pre ordered drones were shipped. Where the money all went is still a question. However, its just another example of how the drone investments are getting burned. Zano/ Photo by Kickstarter Hover Camera The new company named Zero Zero Robotics has raised $23 million USD in Series A for the companies like GSR Ventures, Zhen Fund and ZUIG. Hover created a lot of buzz in the tech and drone media, but the real product that I purchased for $550 was quite far from my expectations for the price Zero Zero Robotics set. Raising that much money and backing it up with a product like this would mean that it won't stay on the market for too long. To get more clear picture, you can refer to this review made by Tested. DJI There are more stories about failed investments in the drone industry but we took three more recent examples. Of course, not everything is that bad. Accel Partners invested $75 M in the beginning of the 2015 and since that time up until now released more than 10 products none of which failed. DJI is a rare example of the successful investments. Much like other companies mentioned above DJI received investments in amount of $30M USD in May 2014 getting major returns on the Inspire and Phantom lines of personalized drones. One year later, another company called Accel Partners invested $75M USD in DJI. Currently DJI holds 70% of the world's consumer drone market. Phantom 4 Pro RC/ Photo by Alex Assenmacher It's not about money There are plenty of companies raising tens of millions of dollars but still fail. There are a couple of main factors that the success of a new drone will depend on. R&D Capabilities Research and development is crucial in any tech product, not only drones. Without technologically advanced products, there is no way to be taken seriously by the consumer. Consider the most recent examples of GoPro Karma, Hover Camera and Yuneec Breeze. Simple drones perhaps but not nearly as advanced as other drones on the market today. If research and development capabilities are weak then it doesn't matter how great your marketing strategy. Ultimately the consumer decides and they won't give it a second chance. Understanding the Customer's Needs Consider the Selfie drone and you may understand many consumer's needs. First, the selfie is a big trend that started from the time mobile phones got the front cameras. And the selfie is probably the most casual type of photography ever. Now, the question is: "Who is taking this so seriously that they would buy a drone for $500 dollars whose only function is just taking selfies?" Yuneec Breeze/ Photo by David Tolsky Better places to invest The industry is growing so big and fast with the chances to fail also high. So how will people invest in the drone business? There are few things that tend to be pretty successful: Software: The software for drone applications seems to be a great investment. In fact, there are many examples of successful software for drones like Healthy Drones, Autopilot, Litchi, Pix4D etc. Some manufacturers like DJI have an SDK program for the developers to create a great software. Accessories: Original accessories from the manufacturers are pretty pricey so 3rd party parts are very popular throughout the drone community. There are bunch of opportunities in making drone cases, backpacks. filters, antenna boosters, gimbal protectors and more. Insurance: With the increase demands of the consumer drone users, the need for insurance is raised as well. As the number of flyers increase, insurance companies can see how this is a decent market to conquer too, especially considering that you don't need a super powerful R&D team for it. Conclusion There are more failed investments than successful ones which is normal for the hot industry like this. What's happened with Intel's $60M in Yuneec's pocket? Where are the $50 millions that was invested in 3DR? The founders of Zano still can't answer where are the investment funds of £2.3M that they raised on Kickstarter. There are more sad examples like that. Investing in the drones is the huge risk, while investing in the drone related business like software for drones or drone insurance might give you more chances to succeed. Thanks for reading!

    By Tim Levin Read More
  • 5 trends in the Drone Industry 2016

    It's been fascinating to see how the drone industry developed this year and what big trends have developed. Like other tech products, drones are getting smarter, faster and overall more complex. Let's take a look at the 5 biggest trends of the drone industry in 2016. Selfie drones Don't underestimate the power of the selfie! The selfie truly came into form with the release of the iPhone 4 and the subsequent proliferation of front-facing smartphone cameras. Today, the selfie an integral part of many people's daily life. It's only logical that people would start taking drone selfies and look to purchase drones designed specifically for that purpose. Seeing an opening, a lot of companies started to make selfie drones, claiming that a drone could take cooler photos than your phone and selfie stick. The Zano, Hovercam, Dobby, and Yuneec Breeze are among the drones targeted at selfie lovers that were released this year. Who doesn't appreciate the novelty of new perspectives that drones can offer? Portability Drone manufacturers making their aircraft smaller and smaller. The Yuneec Typhoon H, while it was rather bulky, could fold up and take up much less space and was launched at the beginning of the year. The GoPro Karma also sports a folding design, and wowed users at its launch event. But the next week, DJI announced the Mavic and shook the whole drone industry. It was most portable and functional drone of the year. There are some selfie drones that are even lighter and smaller than Mavic, but their feature arsenal is limited compared to Mavic Pro. It is hard not to compare drones with cellphones. There was time when mobile phones were getting smaller and smaller. Now, it's happening with drones. Obstacle Avoidance Yuneec's flagship aircraft, the Typhoon H, not only had sonar sensors, but also Intel Realsense (infrared sensors) attached to the front. DJI, being the drone market leader, knew what Yuneec was offering and made sure to release the Phantom 4 with obstacle avoidance. It featured two frontal obstacle avoidance cameras and powerful video processor to make collision avoidance possible. The recently announced DJI Mavic also uses the same technology. Phantom 4 Pro has 360° obstacle avoidance. However, the GoPro Karma doesn't feature obstacle avoidance. They were having a hard time because customers kept saying that they want obstacle avoidance. A lot of potential customers went with the Mavic instead. Is this the feature you'll use every day? No. Ideally, you'll never have to use it, but you're not using your car's airbags every day either. Would you buy a car without airbags? FPV Racing FPV racing went from the fringe to the mainstream in a very short period of time. Second to Ready to Fly mid-size drones, FPV drones are the most popular with hobbyists. Racing drones are small, relatively affordable and extremely fun to fly. That is why RC enthusiasts love them so much. FPV googles isolate the operator from world and make pilot feel like they're is really sitting in the drone and flying himself. It is a completely different experience from looking at your phone screen and flying. Racers have built a very strong community over this year, and now have lots of leagues and international competitions. DJI, even though they don't manufacture racing drones, opened the drone racing arena in Korea for FPV events. Photo By DRL Promotional Use Uber Mexico used drones to great effect to advertise their service. They hooked posters to the bottom of DJI Inspires and flew them over cars during rush hour traffic. Photo by Bloomberg Technology This is not the first time Uber has used drones in promos. In China, they used Phantom 3s to deliver Ice Cream to potential customers. A Russian ad agency called Hungry Boys used drones to carry distribute flyers around the office buildings, getting the attention of the workers and suggesting they order food from a local cafe. It would be right to include the drone delivery and industrial applications on this list, but those have been in the works for a few years now, so I only mentioned fresh trends. Thanks for reading!

    By Tim Levin Read More