No, I don't think that there is any way to determine what the next LFR tier will require for entry. It's certainly possible you'll be right, but it's something that Blizzard has changed in the past, and I fully expect them to change again.
While the general area of numbers are based off hard math, the exact spot where the numbers land is based off gameplay feelings. If the number feels too high, in that too many people are not able to do the instance, or that too many people who can defeat it otherwise can't, then the number gets adjusted down. Having a two stage process like this, one where the numbers dictate the game, and the other where feedback and sense does, is a very powerful design philosophy. It's why your feedback during PTR phases is so important. Blizzard is listening to how things feel for you.
Any word about a 5.3 valor point reset and associated shifting of valor gear to the justice vendors?
Nope, and I'd say it's unlikely to happen. Blizzard didn't move the valor gear down to justice level with 5.2, and there's no indication they're planning it for patch 5.3. I would expect to see any modifications there until patch 5.4 anyways -- it looks like they're not adjusting prices until a new tier of raiding comes out.
I heard a rumor that all heirloom gear was going to scale to 85 in 5.3. Is this true or am I completely mistaken? I ask because I wanna know if I should spend my JP on the upgrade, or switch it to honor for other things.
False. As was pointed out, the prices are getting slashed to upgrade the gear to work through level 85 in patch 5.3 (some of the prices are already decreased, the rest are coming when 5.3 releases).
Reduced the amount of Justice, Honor, and Darkmoon Faire tickets needed to upgrade heirloom items by 60%.
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