The judges behind the ruling also rejected the FCC's claim that cutting the subsidies would spur carriers to build their own networks in tribal areas. The Commission didn't show historical evidence that reduced subsidies would lead to more telecom investment, according to the court. If anything, the judges said, the evidence suggested the opposite. The plaintiffs pointed out that providers have typically refused to offer Lifeline service in their lands since the tribal Lifeline initiative started roughly two decades ago, and that the stricter requirements don't give companies an incentive to expand.
The FCC unsurprisingly objected to the stay. It claimed that the plaintiffs hadn't demonstrated the likelihood of "irreparable harm," and insisted that blocking the Lifeline changes would amount to "wasting public funds" on areas it didn't think should receive full subsidies.
There's no certainty that the appeal will work out in the tribes' favor. However, even the stay order could throw serious complications into the FCC's plans. It saw the tribal cuts as part of a larger strategy to reduce Lifeline subsidies across the board, ostensibly to cut costs -- this would force it to maintain at least some of the broadband discounts and blunt the impact of its order. That could be good news for tribal populations that risked losing internet access, but it's doubtful the current FCC leadership will see things their way.